Three more weeks until the Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. premiere. Three more weeks until our questions begin to get answered. Three more weeks until we get to see the greatest strike in the history of the September War. It is time for my Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. premiere prediction.
Is Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. a good enough representation?
Simply Put
I am expecting nothing less than Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. having the biggest television premiere ever. I expect the first episode to make certain Super Bowls look silly.
Not the Only Record
I fully expect Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. to have the biggest numerical drop-off of viewers between the first and second episode in history. I don’t think that this will be a reflection, though, of the quality of the show.
This is a Major Event
The Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. premiere is a major event which ABC has been pushing for months. There is not another show debuting this year which has had more of a push. Blacklist does not even come close when you consider the hype from Comic-Con. People are going to adjust their schedules to make sure they are home for the Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. premiere. This show’s premiere is a watershed moment for the comic book industry, and countless fans will tune in to see if the hype was worth it.
The Second Week
All shows, no matter how good, will have a drop off between the first week and the second week. People decide they don’t like the show, while others who did like the show just wait for it to come on OnDemand or on another replay service. Others might not be able to cook their schedules the same way the next week, so will have to see it at a later hour as well.
By the Numbers
I do not see Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. having the biggest percentage drop from week one to week two, but the greatest number of people dropping. When this is the biggest premiere in history, it will be easy to see how the average drop-off percentages would translate into more people than usual. Just don’t believe the media hype when they try to make Marvel’s Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. look like a second week failure.
